Drillships back to pre-Covid levels as owners test $200K ‘ceiling’ on day rates
Drillships back to pre-Covid levels as owners test $200K ‘ceiling’ on day rates
The “psychological ceiling” of $200,000 day rates for offshore drillships will be broken “more routinely” now that the market has reached pre-Covid levels.
Westwood Global has issued new analysis, with some reasons to be cheerful for the “battered and beleaguered” drilling market.
Drillship utilisation globally has reached 82%, the highest for any month since February 2020, according to the firm.
It comes as supply declines as units are retired, and demand returns – with 55 campaigns planned for 2021 alone, of 152 total.
The “rule of thumb” is that utilisation rates need to hit 85% to boost day rates, which have typically been around $187K.
With usage just shy of that, there's “cautious optimism” for this year and 2022, Westwood said.
Some firms like Korea National Oil Company (KNOC), have already breached the $200K mark, paying a $210,000 day rate for Maersk Drilling, and BHP paying Transocean $215,000 in the US Gulf, but most have stayed below.
Drillship owners have been better off than jack-up rig owners and semisubmersibles in terms of contract terminations, Westwood said.
Still, owners have lost more than $350m from seven of eight cancellations since March 2020.
Terry Childs, head of RigLogix at Westwood Global, said: “As utilisation improves, the balance of buying power will