Futures Flash Warning for Bitcoin Outlook in JPMorgan Analysis

Futures Flash Warning for Bitcoin Outlook in JPMorgan Analysis

(Bloomberg) -- Bitcoin's strongest two-day rally in about a fortnight has yet to dispel doubts about the virtual currency's vulnerability following May's rout.

The cryptocurrency has jumped 9% over two days and was trading at $36,740 as of 7:05 a.m. in London on Thursday. While the momentum may cheer bulls, a JPMorgan Chase & Co. team said backwardation in the futures market -- where the spot price is above futures prices -- is a reason for caution.

“We believe that the return to backwardation in recent weeks has been a negative signal pointing to a bear market,” JPMorgan strategists led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou wrote in a note. They added that Bitcoin's relatively depressed share of total crypto market value is another concerning trend.