Your morning coffee is about to get more expensive

  • Date: 25-Mar-2021
  • Source: Business Insider
  • Sector:Retail
  • Country:Gulf
  • Who else needs to know?

Your morning coffee is about to get more expensive

When it rains, it pours, and when there's a drought, prices go up. 

In this case, the drought is in Brazil and it has the US running low on coffee. That means your morning cup of joe is about to get more expensive. 

The drought has decreased crop production just as congested shipping ports have caused US coffee stockpiles to hit the lowest they've been in six years, Bloomberg reported. So far, roasters have been relying on their inventories instead of hiking prices, but that will only last so long and wholesale prices have climbed.

Potential losses from the drought could affect half of Brazil's coffee crops next year, soft commodities expert Judith Ganes told Reuters in December. She said it was hard to determine how badly Brazil's Arabica beans were hit, but "there will be major failure," she said. "I saw areas with 100% losses, 50% losses, 30% losses." 

Arabica-coffee futures in New York have increased by nearly a quarter since the end of October, per Bloomberg. And Marex Spectron recently upgraded its global coffee deficit forecast from 8 million bags to 10.7 million bags, citing the drought.

Logistic problems have only compounded the shortage brought on by declining crops. Some facilities in Dinamo,